https://puffthinksaloud.com/ 记录读过的书、留下的笔记，以及它们如何改变我的思考。 zh-CN Sat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00:00 GMT https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/silent-period https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/silent-period Sat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00:00 GMT 由《道德经》及长期主义相关书籍引发：如何守得住沉默，也听得见证据。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/probability-thinking https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/probability-thinking Thu, 03 Sep 2026 21:00:00 GMT 由《底层逻辑2》和股市交易引发：怎样用结果检验判断，在不确定性中思考概率、赔率与生存。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/the-power-of-now https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/the-power-of-now Thu, 03 Sep 2026 20:00:00 GMT 以旁观者的视角观察自己的生活，在情绪与行动之间留出空间，也在共鸣与怀疑之间保留判断。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/long-termism https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/long-termism Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT 由《底层逻辑2》《掌控习惯》《反脆弱》《持续买入》和《纳瓦尔宝典》引发的长期主义思考。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide/status-quo https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide/status-quo Thu, 03 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT 改变的风险清晰可见，维持现状的代价却常常延迟出现。主动等待有期限、有观察对象，也知道什么条件会触发下一步。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/just-keep-buying https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/just-keep-buying Thu, 03 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT 持续买入不只是投资策略，更是一座桥：趁人力资本仍能创造收入，把今天有限的劳动收入转化为未来的资产与选择权。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/distant-savior https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/distant-savior Wed, 02 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT 当我停止等待别人给予许可，开始作出选择并承担结果，真正的拯救便已经发生。真正的贵人，是变强了的自己。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/disposition-effect https://puffthinksaloud.com/thoughts/disposition-effect Wed, 02 Sep 2026 10:00:00 GMT 为什么亏损的股票拿得住，盈利的股票反而急于卖出？从处置效应、参照点与实现效用出发，重新理解投资中的机会成本和自我欺骗。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/manifestation https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/manifestation Tue, 01 Sep 2026 09:00:00 GMT 条件不会完全具备，答案常在行动之后出现。相信不会替我走完那条路，却会让我愿意出发，并在现实反馈中不断调整。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide/resilience https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide/resilience Tue, 01 Sep 2026 08:00:00 GMT 真正的心理韧性不是毫无感觉，而是允许情绪经过自己，接纳过去并不完美的自己，同时不把人生的方向交给情绪决定。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/at-the-limit https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/at-the-limit Tue, 01 Sep 2026 07:00:00 GMT 女性独立与觉醒正在发生，但它最终指向一个更根本的问题：一个人能否不依附于既定角色，成为能够选择、判断并承担后果的主体。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/cognitive-awakening https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/cognitive-awakening Tue, 01 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT 想同时做很多事，又想立刻看到结果。与其催促自己，不如缩小当下的任务，让能力和耐心慢慢追上欲望。 https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide https://puffthinksaloud.com/books/how-to-decide Tue, 01 Sep 2026 05:00:00 GMT 成本价可以用于复盘，但不应该决定未来。值得坚持的是长期目标，而不一定是某一只股票或最初选择的路线。